SYSTEM FOUNDATIONS OF THE THEORY OF LONG-TERM TECHNICAL AND ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT
Abstract and keywords
Abstract (English):
Modern ideas of the theory of long-term technical and economic development and evolutionary economics are systematically criticized, since the models created on their basis do not provide predictive capabilities even in predicting deep economic cri-ses. Based on the general approach to systems theory formulated by N. Wiener, the pe-riodization of Kondratiev cycles, the provisions of the history of the economy, the histo-ry and theory of automated control systems, the ideas of technological structures are deepened. The first, second, third and fourth technological modes ensured the growth of labor productivity due to an increase in material intensity, energy intensity and capital intensity of production based on an increase in the scale of obtaining and using scientific and technical information. The improvement of production was carried out through its mechanization, the replacement of human labor by the work of machines, including the simplest control systems, which were later replaced by automatic lines. The fifth and sixth technological modes ensured the growth of labor productivity with a simultaneous reduction in material intensity, energy intensity and capital intensity of production on the basis of an increase in the scale of obtaining and using scientific and technical in-formation. The improvement of production was carried out by replacing automatic lines with flexible automated production, then by creating automated intelligently controlled automated systems.

Keywords:
systems approach, technological structures, productivity, information, mechanization, automation, intelligent systems
References

1. Wiener N. Cybernetics or Control and Communication in the Animal and the Ma-chine. Second Edition. The MIT Press, 1965. 212 p.

2. Alexander M. The Kondratieff Cycle. Lincoln, NE: Writer’s Club Press, 2002. 288 p.

3. Kondratieff N. The Long Waves in Economic Life. Martino Fine Books, 2014. 28 p.

4. Narkus S. Kondratieff, N. and Schumpeter, Joseph A. Long-waves theory. Universities Oslo, 2012. 80 p.

5. Nefiodow L., Nefiodow S. The Sixth Kondratieff: A New Long Wave in the Global Economy. Createspace Independent Pub, 2014. 264 p.

6. Terry Johnson, Christopher Dandeker, Clive Ashworth. Theoretical Sociology: The Conditions of Fragmentation and Unity. In: T.Johnson, C.Dandeker, C.Ashworth. The Structure of Social Theory. Dilemmas and Strategies. London: Macmillan, 1984, sh.1, p.1-28.

7. Dopfer K., Potts J. The General Theory of Economic Evolution. Routledge, 2015. 152 p.

8. Drechsler W., Kattel R. and Reinert E. Techno-Economic Paradigms. Essays in Honour of Carlota Perez. Anthem Press, 2011. 442 p.

9. Perez C. Technological Revolutions and Financial Capital: The Dynamics of Bubbles and Golden Ages. Elgar Publishing, 2003. 224 p.

10. Geels, F.W. Technological transitions as evolutionary reconfiguration processes: A multi-level perspective and a case-study. Res. Policy 2002, 31, 1257-1274.

11. Glaz'ev S. Strategiya operezhayuschego razvitiya rossiyskoy ekonomiki v uslo-viyah global'nogo krizisa. M.: Ekonomika, 2010. 287 c.

12. Maevskiy V. Vvedenie v evolyucionnuyu makroekonomiku. M.: Yaponiya sego-dnya, 1997. 106 s.

13. Basovskiy L.E., Basovskaya E.N. Produktivnost' tehnologicheskih ukladov v ekonomike SShA // NIR. Ekonomika. 2015. № 4. C. 4-13. DOI:https://doi.org/10.12737/12772

14. Basovskiy L.E., Basovskaya E.N. Produktivnost' tehnologicheskih ukladov v ekonomike Velikobritanii // NIR. Ekonomika. 2015. № 6. C. 13-20. DOI:https://doi.org/10.12737/16671

15. Basovskiy L.E., Basovskaya E.N. Postindustrial'nye uklady v ekonomike Rossii. M.: INFRA-M, 2017. 159 s.

16. Schumpeter J. Capitalism, Socialism and Democracy. New York: Harper & Broth-ers, 1942. 381 p.

17. Leontief, W. Essays in Economics: Theories, Theorizing, Facts, and Policies Paper-back. Transaction Publishers, 1985. 423 p.

18. Keesman K. System Identification: An Introduction. Heidelberg: Springer, 2011. 323 p.

19. Owens D. Iterative Learning Control. An Optimization Paradigm. London: Springer, 2016. 456 p.

20. Sutton R, Barto A. Reinforcement Learning: An Introduction. Cambridge: The MIT Press, 2017. 427 p.

Login or Create
* Forgot password?