STATISTICAL RELATIONSHIPS BETWEEN VARIATIONS OF THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD, AURORAL ELECTROJET, AND GEOMAGNETICALLY INDUCED CURRENTS
Аннотация и ключевые слова
Аннотация (русский):
Using observations from the IMAGE magnetic observatories and the station for recording geomagnetically induced currents (GIC) in the electric transmission line in 2015, we examine relationships between geomagnetic field and GIC variations. The GIC intensity is highly correlated (R>0.7) with the field variability |dB/dt| and closely correlated with variations in the time derivatives of X and Y components. Daily variations in the mean geomagnetic field variability |dB/dt| and GIC intensity have a wide night maximum, associated with the electrojet, and a wide morning maximum, presumably caused by intense Pc5–Pi3 geomagnetic pulsations. We have constructed a regression linear model to estimate GIC from the time derivative of the geomagnetic field and AE index. Statistical distributions of the probability density of the AE index, geomagnetic field derivative, and GIC correspond to the log-normal law. The constructed distributions are used to evaluate the probabilities of extreme values of GIC and |dB/dt|.

Ключевые слова:
geomagnetic field, geomagnetic variations, geomagnetically induced currents, auroral electrojet
Текст
Текст произведения (PDF): Читать Скачать
Список литературы

1. Belakhovsky V.B., Sakharov Y.A., Pilipenko V.A., Selivanov V.N. Characteristics of the variability of a geomagnetic field for studying the impact of the magnetic storms and substorms on electrical energy systems. Izvestiya. Physics of the Solid Earth. 2018. vol. 54, no. 1, pp. 52-65. DOI:https://doi.org/10.1134/S1069351318010032.

2. Boteler D.H., Pirjola R.J., Nevanlinna H. The effects of geomagnetic disturbances on electrical systems at the Earth’s surface. Adv. Space. Res. 1998, vol. 22, iss. 1, pp. 17-27. DOI:https://doi.org/10.1016/S0273-1177(97)01096-X.

3. Bolshev L.N., Smirnov N.V. Tablitsy matematicheskoi statistiki [Tables of Mathematical Statistics]. Moscow, Nauka Publ., 1983, 416 p. (In Russian).

4. Chisham G., Freeman M.P. On the non-Gaussian nature of ionospheric vorticity. Geophys. Res. Lett. 2010, vol. 37, iss. 12, L12103. DOI:https://doi.org/10.1029/2010GL043714.

5. Consolini G., de Michelis P. Non-Gaussian distribution function of AE-index fluctuations: evidence for time intermittency. Geophys. Res. Lett. 1998, vol. 25, iss. 21, pp. 4087-4090. DOI:https://doi.org/10.1029/1998GL900073.

6. Dvorkovich V.P., Dvorkovich A.V. Okonnye funktsii dlya garmonicheskogo analiza signalov [Window Functions for Harmonic Analysis of Signals]. Moscow, Technosphera Publ., 2014, 112 p. (In Russian).

7. Fiori R.A.D., Boteler D.H., Gillies D.M. Assessment of GIC risk due to geomagnetic sudden commencements and identification of the current systems responsible. Space Weather. 2014, vol. 12, iss. 1, pp. 76-91, DOI:https://doi.org/10.1002/2013SW000967.

8. Kappenman J.G. An overview of the impulsive geomagnetic field disturbances and power grid impacts associated with the violent Sun-Earth connection events of 29-31 October 2003 and a comparative evaluation with other contemporary storms. Space Weather. 2005, vol. 3, iss. 1, S08C01. DOI:https://doi.org/10.1029/2004SW000128.

9. Kelly G.S., Viljanen A., Beggan C., Thomson A.W.P. Understanding GIC in the UK and French high-voltage transmission systems during severe magnetic storms. Space Weather. 2017, vol. 15, iss. 1, pp. 99-114. DOI:https://doi.org/10.1002/2016SW001469.

10. Kleimenova N.G., Kozyreva O.V. Spatio-temporal dynamics of geomagnetic pulsations Pi3 and Pc5 during extreme magnetic storms in October 2003. Geomagnetism and Aeronomy. 2005, vol. 45, no. 1, pp. 71-79.

11. Kozak L.V., Savin S.P., Budaev V.P., Pilipenko V.A., Lezhen L.A. Сharacter of turbulence in the boundary regions of the Earth’s magnetosphere. Geomagnetism and Aeronomy. 2012, vol. 52, no. 4, pp. 445-455. DOI:https://doi.org/10.1134/S0016793212040093.

12. Pisarenko V.F., Rodkin M.V. Raspredeleniya s tyazhelymi khvostami: prilozheniya k analizu katastrof [Distributions with Heavy Tails: Applications to the Analysis of Disasters]. Moscow, GEOS Publ., 2007, 242 p. (In Russian).

13. Pahud D.M., Rae I.J., Mann I.R., Murphy K.R., Amalraj V. Ground-based Pc5 ULF wave power: solar wind speed and MLT dependence. J. Atmos. Solar-Terr. Phys. 2009, vol. 71, iss. 10-11, pp. 1082-1092. DOI:https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jastp.2008.12.004.

14. Pilipenko V.A., Bravo M., Romanova N.V., Kozyreva O.V., Samsonov S.N., Sakharov Y.A. Geomagnetic and ionospheric responses to the interplanetary shock wave of March 17, 2015. Izvestiya. Physics of the Solid Earth. 2018, vol. 54, no. 5, pp. 721-740. DOI:https://doi.org/10.1134/S1069351318050129.

15. Pirjola R., Pulkkinen A., Viljanen A. Studies of space weather effects on the finnish natural gas pipeline and on the finnish high-voltage power system. Adv. Space Res. 2003, vol. 31, iss. 4, pp. 795-805. DOI:https://doi.org/10.1016/S0273-1177(02)00781-0.

16. Pulkkinen A., Bernabeu E., Eichner J., Beggan C., Thomson A.W.P. Generation of 100-year geomagnetically induced current scenarios. Space Weather. 2012, vol. 10, iss. 4, S04003. DOI:https://doi.org/10.1029/2011SW000750.

17. Sakharov Ya.A., Danilin A.N., Ostafiychuk R.M. Registration of GIC in power systems of the Kola Peninsula. Proc. of 7th Intern. Symp. on Electromagnetic Compatibility and Electromagnetic Ecology. St. Petersburg, June 26-29, 2007, pp. 291-293.

18. Sakharov Ya.A., Danilin A.N., Ostafiychuk R.M. Katkalov Yu.V., Kudryashova N.V. Geomagnetically induced currents in the power systems of the Kola peninsula at solar minimum. Proc. of 8th Intern. Symp. on Electromagnetic Compatibility and Electromagnetic Ecology. St. Petersburg, 2009, pp. 237-238.

19. Stauning P. Multi-station basis for Polar Cap (PC) indices: ensuring credibility and operational reliability. J. Space Weather Space Climate. 2018, vol. 8, A07, 14 p. DOI:https://doi.org/10.1051/swsc/ 2017036.

20. Sushko V.A., Kosykh D.A. Geomagnetic storms. The Threat to Russia’s National Security. Novosti elektrotekhniki [News of Electrical Engineering]. 2013, no. 4 (82), pp. 25-28. (In Russian).

21. Viljanen A. The relation between geomagnetic variations and their time derivatives and implications for estimation of induction risks. Geophys. Res. Lett. 1997, vol. 24, pp. 631-634. DOI:https://doi.org/10.1029/97GL00538.

22. Viljanen A., Tanskanen E. Climatology of rapid geomagnetic variations at high latitudes over two solar cycles. Ann. Geophys. 2011, vol. 29, pp. 1783-1792. DOI:https://doi.org/10.5194/angeo-29-1783-2011.

23. Viljanen A., Tanskanen E.I., Pulkkinen A. Relation between substorm characteristics and rapid temporal variations of the ground magnetic field. Ann. Geophys. 2006, vol. 24, pp.725-733. DOI:https://doi.org/10.5194/angeo-24-725-2006.

24. Vakhnina V.V. Modelirovanie rezhimov raboty silovykh transformatorov sistem elektrosnabzheniya pri geomagnitnykh buryakh [Modeling of Operation Modes of Power Transformers of Power Supply Systems in Geomagnetic Storms]. Togliatti, Togliatti State University, 2012. 103 p. (In Russian).

25. Weigel R.S., Klimas A.J., Vassiliadis D. Solar wind coupling to and predictability of ground magnetic fields and their time derivatives. J. Geophys. Res. 2003, vol. 108, no. A7, 1298. DOI:https://doi.org/10.1029/2002JA009627.

26. Yagova N.V., Lamondodog A.D., Gusev Yu.P., Pilipenko V.A., Fedorov E.N. Frequencies of occurrence of extreme values of time-derivative geomagnetic fields, potentially dangerous for industrial electric networks, according to data of long-term observations on the IMAGE network. Proc. of the All-Russian Conference “Heliogeophysical Research in the Arctic”. Apatity, September 19-23, 2016, pp. 81-84. (In Russian).

27. Yagova N.V., Pilipenko V.A., Fedorov E.N., Lhamdontong A.D., Gusev Yu.P. Geomagnetically induced currents and space weather: Pi3 pulsations and extreme values of the time derivatives of the horizontal components of the geomagnetic field. Izvestiya. Physics of the Solid Earth. 2018, vol. 54, no. 5, pp. 749-763. DOI:https://doi.org/10.1134/S1069351318050130.

28. URL: http://eurisgic.org (accessed September 9, 2018).

29. URL: www.geo.fmi.fi/image (accessed September 9, 2018).

30. URL: http://wdc.kugi.kyoto-u.ac.jp/aedir (accessed September 9, 2018).

31. URL: http://www.geophys.aari.ru (accessed September 9, 2018).

32. URL: http://space.fmi.fi/image/www (accessed September 9, 2018).

33. URL: http://space.fmi.fi/image (accessed September 9, 2018).

Войти или Создать
* Забыли пароль?