New Technological Ways in the Regions of Russia

Leonid Basovskiy; Elena Basovskaya

doi:10.12737/21079

NEW TECHNOLOGICAL WAYS IN THE REGIONS OF RUSSIA New Technological Ways in the Regions of Russia

АА Аа

Published in Scientific Research and Development. Economics · Volume 4, Issue 4 · Pages 27–32 · Rubric: Сommon questions

DOI: https://doi.org/10.12737/21079

Received: 16.08.2016 Accepted: 17.08.2016 Published: 17.08.2016 Language of publication: RUS

Authors

Leonid Basovskiy

Elena Basovskaya

Leonid Basovskiy

Academic degree: doctor of technical sciences

Science rang: professor

Leo Tolstoy Tula State Pedagogical University Head · Department of Economics and Management · Tula

Elena Basovskaya

Academic degree: candidate of economic sciences

Leo Tolstoy Tula State Pedagogical University Associate Professor · Department of Economics and Management · Tula

ABSTRACT

Distribution of new — the fifth and sixth technological ways in economy of regions of Russia is investigated. For economic evaluation of technological structures hysterical time series of real per capita GDP of Great Britain are used. Construction of econometric models of cyclical trends has allowed establishing the date of the beginning of the upward half-waves of the fourth and fifth Kondratieff cycles. For the construction of econometric models of technological structures was assumed that the beginning of upward half-waves cycles coincide with the beginning of the upward wave of new orders, since the beginning of the dominance of another way of life and a torque of the withering away of the old order. We used piecewise linear model orders. By the simulation it was found, that the relic and fourth technological orders provide a contribution to real GDP per capita value of 4000 Gehry-Hemis dollars in 1990. The contribution of the new — the fifth and sixth in the Russian economy is estimated as the excess of the value of real per capita GDP over the contribution of relic and fourth technological structures, evaluated according to the UK. This has allowed for the first time to give an economic assessment of the contribution of new orders in the Russian economy. It now has exceeded 50%. By degree of distribution of new ways in the groups of regions is irregular. The regional group in the economy where new ways are not observed, the economic policy directed to the continued industrialization. In the regions, where new ways make contribution to the economies, economic policy should focus on the development of post-industrial economies.

KEYWORDS

Kondratieff cycles, technological orders, econometric models, productivity, the real per capita GDP.

Text

Работа выполнена при поддержке гранта РГНФ № 15-02-00369.

Эволюция индустриальных и постиндустриальных экономических систем сопровождается ростом производительности труда и объемов национального производства. Эта эволюция демонстрирует долгосрочные циклы экономического развития, которые получили известность как циклы Кондратьева, длительность циклов считается равной 40–60 годам [1–4]. С циклами Кондратьева связывают смену технико-экономических парадигм — технологических укладов, преобладающих в экономике [5–9]. Технологический уклад представляет собой экономическую систему, характеризующуюся некоторыми особенностями производства и потребления благ. Современные пятый и шестой технологические уклады характеризуются существенно более высокими уровнем производительности и объемом национального производства по сравнению с ранними укладами [10, 11]. Оценки распространения технологических укладов основываются на отнесении конкретных товаров, услуг, технологий, используемых энергетических ресурсов к определенным технологическим укладам на основе их свойств, технических характеристик.

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GOST

Basovskiy L. E., Basovskaya E. N. New Technological Ways in the Regions of Russia // Scientific Research and Development. Economics. 2016. no. 4. pp. 27-32. DOI: https://doi.org/10.12737/21079. (Date of access 24.10.2026).

MLA

Leonid Basovskiy, Basovskaya E. N.. "New Technological Ways in the Regions of Russia." Scientific Research and Development. Economics 4.4 (2016): 27-32. DOI: https://doi.org/10.12737/21079.

APA

Basovskiy L. E., Basovskaya E. N. (2016). New Technological Ways in the Regions of Russia. Scientific Research and Development. Economics, 4(4), 27-32. https://doi.org/10.12737/21079

Chicago

Leonid Basovskiy, Basovskaya E. N.. "New Technological Ways in the Regions of Russia." Scientific Research and Development. Economics 4, no. 4 (2016): 27-32. https://doi.org/10.12737/21079.

WIKI

{{cite journal | author = Basovskiy L. E., Basovskaya E. N. | title = New Technological Ways in the Regions of Russia | journal = Scientific Research and Development. Economics | year = 2016 | volume = 4 | issue = 4 | pages = 27-32 | doi = 10.12737/21079 }}

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