The problems of choice of enterprises-recipients of scarce investment resources for the projects of production capacities modernization are considered. The enterprises’ management shows their opportunistic behavior, seeking to request the excess investment amount. Investment projects often do not have economic justification, and new-built modern production facility will not be used efficiently. At the same time, more careful selection of recipients leads to delay in modernization projects’ implementation, reducing the potential savings in production costs. In the paper we propose simple methods of assessing losses arising from restricted rationality of the resources’ dispatchers in the allocation of funds to enterprises that are unable to ensure effective capacity utilization, as well as losses due to the time lag in the decision making. This allows you to develop cost-justified recommendations for improving the processes of decision making. All models are designed to use only available statistical information. The calculations are performed taking into account economic specificities of the aviation industry, but the proposed approaches can be adapted to other industries that are experiencing similar management problems.
aviation industry, modernization, investment project, efficiency, capacity utilization, loss, opportunism, restricted rationality
В сложившейся макроэкономической и геополитической обстановке обостряется дефицит ресурсов, как финансовых, так и временных, необходимых для модернизации предприятий российской авиационной промышленности. Неизбежно секвестрование расходов государственного бюджета на эти цели ввиду сокращения бюджетных доходов, а покупательная способность выделяемых средств падает в силу удешевления рубля относительно валют тех стран, в которых закупается значительная часть оборудования и технологий. В то же время техническое перевооружение предприятий российской авиационной промышленности (как и большинства отраслей российского оборонно-промышленного комплекса) сопровождается целым рядом организационных проблем, которые тесно связаны с финансовыми и ресурсными проблемами. Эти две группы проблем усиливают друг друга.
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