employee
Voronezh, Russian Federation
UDK 327.51 Образование блоков. Военные союзы и система блоков как источники конфликтов
UDK 327.56 Разрядка напряженности. Урегулирование международных конфликтов
The report attempts to identify the logic of world processes outlined in the mid-1990s by S. Huntington in the book “The Clash of Civilizations” and use it to analyze the current international situation on the basis of strategic documents of the Russian Federation, interviews and speeches of the President of the Russian Federation V.V. Putin. The selected sources determine the directions of the country's foreign policy, formally and concisely present an understanding of the challenges, threats and opportunities for Russian partnership. To achieve this goal, we need to solve the following problems using comparative analysis. First, to characterize changes in the balance of power on the geopolitical map of the world in the 1990s and 2020s. Secondly, to determine the driving forces of world processes (civilizations, political, economic interests). Thirdly, assess the strength and longevity of modern partnerships and alliances predicted by Huntington between countries representing different civilizations. Fourth, determine the reasons for the start of a special military operation in Ukraine from the perspective of the concept S. Huntington. Fifthly, in response to current geopolitical challenges, determine models for the future existence of Russia and Ukraine. Sixth, assess the role of modern Russia in destroying the dominance of Western civilization and building a multipolar world. According to our hypothesis, the simultaneous use of the conceptual optics of the civilizational approach and political realism makes it possible to more clearly and accurately explain the observed geopolitical changes. It is obvious that a number of S. Huntington’s forecasts came true, and the conclusions are repeated in the strategic documents of the Russian Federation. In the book of 1996 and in documents of the 21st century a permanent conflict is being reproduced between the core countries - the most powerful and culturally central states. The Russian Federation claims leadership in the formation of a new multipolar world order.
clash of civilizations, S. Huntington, national security strategy, Russian foreign policy, “collective West”
1. Avksent'ev V.A., Aksyumov B.V., Hoc A.Yu. Konflikt civilizaciy: Pro et Contra (mnenie ekspertov) // Sociologicheskie issledovaniya. – 2009. – 2009. - No4. – S. 73-81.
2. Amerika protiv vseh. Geopolitika, gosudarstvennost' i global'naya rol' SShA: istoriya i sovremennost'. – M.: OOO «Sodruzhestvo kul'tur», 2023. - 588 s.
3. Bzhezinskiy Z. Velikaya shahmatnaya doska: gospodstvo Ameriki i ego geostrategicheskie imperativy. – M: AST, 2014. - 702 s.
4. V MVF zayavili o razdelenii mira na tri bloka iz-za geopoliticheskih problem // Izvestiya. – 8 maya 2024. – URL: https://iz.ru/1693511/2024-05-08/v-mvf-zaiavili-o-razdelenii- mira-na-tri-bloka-iz-za-geopoliticheskikh-problem (data obrascheniya: 09.05.2024).
5. Vystuplenie V.V. Putina na zasedanii diskussionnogo kluba «Valday» // Oficial'nyy sayt Prezidenta Rossiyskoy Federacii. 05.10.2023. URL: http://kremlin.ru/events/president/news/72444 (data obrascheniya: 15.04.2024).
6. Diskussiya vokrug civilizacionnoy modeli: S. Hantington otvechaet opponentam // Polis. Politicheskie issledovaniya. – 1994. - No1. – S. 49-57.
7. Zasedanie diskussionnogo kluba «Valday» // Oficial'nyy sayt Prezidenta Rossiyskoy Federacii. 05.10.2023. URL: http://kremlin.ru/events/president/news/72444 (data obrascheniya: 15.04.2024).
8. Ivanov P.M. Stolknovenie civilizaciy ili ustoychivoe razvitie? // Polis. Politicheskie issledovaniya. – 2015. - No2. – S. 162-172. DOI:https://doi.org/10.17976/jpps/2015.02.11
9. Interv'yu Vladimira Putina Takeru Karlsonu // Oficial'nyy sayt Prezidenta Rossiyskoy Federacii. 09.02.2024. URL: http://www.kremlin.ru/events/president/news/73411 (data obrascheniya: 16.04.2024).
10. Korotkova M.N. «Stolknovenie civilizaciy» S. Hantingtona: v poiskah identichnosti v sovremennom mire // Vestnik Permskogo universiteta. Politologiya. – 2011. - No1. – S. 55-64.
11. Korotkova M.N. Semuel' Hantington – politolog shirokogo profilya // Vestnik Permskogo universiteta. Politologiya. – 2009. – Vypusk 2. – S. 69-78.
12. Kravchenko I. Doktrina S. Hantingtona: gipoteza ili zhestkiy alarm-prognoz // Mirovaya ekonomika i mezhdunarodnye otnosheniya. – 2006. - No12. – S. 104-111.
13. Lancov S.A., Lancova I.S. Mirovaya politika nachala XXI v.: teoreticheskie prognozy i real'nye tendencii // Sravnitel'naya politika. – 2017. – T.8. - No2. – S. 8-18. DOI: https://doi.org/10.18611/2221-3279-2017-8-2-8-18
14. Lebedeva M.M. Sovremennye megatrendy mirovoy politiki // Mirovaya ekonomika i mezhdunarodnye otnosheniya. – 2019. – Tom 63. - No9. – S. 29-37. DOI: https://doi.org/10.20542/0131-2227-2019-63-9-29-37
15. Luchinin S.V. Buduschee lokal'nyh civilizaciy (v svete social'no-filosofskoy koncepcii A.A. Zinov'eva) // Vestnik Voronezhskogo gosudarstvennogo universiteta. Seriya: Filosofiya. – 2020. - No4. - S. 125-130.
16. Mihaylov S.A. Severo-Vostochnaya Indiya kak primer «stolknoveniya civilizaciy» // Vestnik Rossiyskogo universiteta druzhby narodov. Seriya: Vseobschaya istoriya. - 2020. - T. 12. - No4. - S. 324–337. DOI: https://doi.org/10.22363/2312-8127-2020-12-4-324-337
17. Obraschenie Prezidenta Rossiyskoy Federacii // Oficial'nyy sayt Prezidenta Rossiyskoy Federacii. 24.02.2022. URL: http://www.kremlin.ru/events/president/transcripts/speeches/67843 (data obrascheniya: 16.04.2024).
18. Putin V. Ob istoricheskom edinstve russkih i ukraincev // Oficial'nyy sayt Prezidenta Rossiyskoy Federacii. 12.06.2021. URL: http://kremlin.ru/events/president/news/66181 (data obrascheniya: 15.01.2023).
19. Rakova K.V. Stolknovenie ili sotrudnichestvo civilizaciy? Aktual'nye ocenki zapadnymi specialistami koncepcii S. Hantingtona // Problemy civilizacionnogo razvitiya. – 2021. – T.3. - No2. – S. 20-50. DOI: https://doi.org/10.21146/2713-1483-2021-3-2- 20-50
20. Reznik Yu.M. Dva proekta civilizacionnogo buduschego Rossii: Hantington protiv Danilevskogo (opyt aktual'noy rekonstrukcii) // Intellekt. Innovacii. Investicii. - 2020. - №4. - S. 10-22 https://doi.org/10.25198/2077-7175-2020-4-10.
21. Savenkov R.V. Otrazhenie idey N.Ya. Danilevskogo v «Strategii nacional'noy bezopasnosti Rossiyskoy Federacii» // Zhurnal politicheskih issledovaniy. – 2023. – T. 7. - No1. – S. 104-114. DOI: https://doi.org/10.12737/2587-6295-2023-7-1-104-114
22. Samyuel' Hantington: «Voyna civilizaciy» — eto ne konec istorii (Interv'yu s S. Hantingtonom) // Rossiya i musul'manskiy mir. – 2005. - S. 189-198.
23. Surguladze V.Sh. Rossiya – gosudarstvo-civilizaciya: k voprosu o konceptual'nom videnii roli strany v doktrinal'nyh dokumentah gosudarstvennogo strategicheskogo planirovaniya // Vlast'. – 2023. - No5. – T. 31. – S. 22-32. DOI: https://doi.org/10.31171/vlast.v31i5.9774
24. Trenin D. Novyy balans sil: Rossiya v poiskah vneshnepoliticheskogo ravnovesiya. – M.: Al'pina Pablisher, 2021. - 471 s.
25. Ukaz Prezidenta RF ot 02.07.2021 No 400 «O Strategii nacional'noy bezopasnosti Rossiyskoy Federacii» // Sobranie zakonodatel'stva RF, 05.07.2021, N 27 (chast' II), st. 5351.
26. Ukaz Prezidenta RF ot 31.03.2023 No229 «Ob utverzhdenii Koncepcii vneshney politiki v Rossiyskoy Federacii» // Prezident Rossii. Oficial'nyy sayt Prezidenta Rossiyskoy Federacii. URL: http://kremlin.ru/events/president/news/70811 (data obrascheniya: 01.04.2024).
27. Hantington S. Stolknovenie civilizaciy? // Polis. Politicheskie issledovaniya. – 1994. - No1. – S. 31-49.
28. Hantington S. Stolknovenie civilizaciy. – M.: AST, 2014. - 571 s.
29. Shul'c E.E. Kubinskaya revolyuciya v svete klyuchevyh voprosov teorii revolyucii // Vestnik Tomskogo gosudarstvennogo universiteta. – 2022. - No482. – S. 157-162. DOI: https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.17223/15617793/482/16
