DEMOGRAPHIC REALITIES AND PROSPECTS OF THE REGIONS IN THE FAR EAST AND TRANS-BAIKAL
Abstract and keywords
Abstract (English):
Object. Demographic and socioeconomic processes of the Far East and Trans-baikal. Subject of the Study. The article deals with the modern dynamics of the population in the Far East and Trans-baikal. The absolute and relative parameters of migration, the direction and structure of inter-territorial and interstate migration flows are analyzed. The authors study the composition, structure and dynamics of income and living standards in the region. Social perspectives and guidelines for population stabilization in the region are formulated. Purpose. Formation of the complex socioeconomic and demographic situation of the Far East and Trans-baikal.

Keywords:
population, population shift, productivity of migration, foreign migrants, income(s) of the population, living standard, Far East, Trans-Baikal.
Text

Статья выполнена в рамках комплексной программы фундаментальных исследований ДВО РАН «Дальний Восток», проект 42П.17.5 «Экономика науки и образования: Дальний Восток России».

Введение

Социально-экономическое развитие страны (субъекта) определяется не только уровнем, масштабами развития хозяйственного комплекса, но и тем, кто проживает на данной территории, кто способен обеспечивать его поступательное движение. Демографическое развитие является одним из важных элементов устойчивого социально-экономического развития государства (и его отдельных субъектов) и одновременно фактором его национальной безопасности.

Дальний Восток и Забайкалье1 вступили с начала ХХI в. в период довольно критического демографического развития, когда численность населения стала уменьшаться темпами, превосходящими средние российские показатели [Елизаров, 2014, 14, с. 57–72]. В этом процессе свою роль «играют» естественное и миграционное движение населения [Красинец, Шевцова, 2014, 13]. Начавшийся в регионе еще в 1989 г. и постепенно нарастающий миграционный отток населения с 1993 г. дополнился естественной убылью населения.

_____________

1В Забайкалье входит Республика Бурятия и Забайкальский край, в составе которого находится Агинский Бурятский автономный округ.

References

1. Rossii. S otsialno-ekonomicheskie pokazateli. 2012 [Regions of Russia. Socio-economic indicators. 2012]. Rosstat. Moscow, 2012. 990 р.

2. Minakir P.A., S ergienko V.I. Sintez nauchno-tehnicheskih i ekonomicheskih prognozov: Tihookeanskaya Rossiya - 2050 [Synthesis of scientific, technical and economic forecasts: Pacific Russia - 2050]. Vladivostok, Dalnauka Publ., 2011. 912 р.

3. Ofitsialnyiy sayt F ederalnoy sluzhbyi gosudarstvennoy statistiki RF [The official site of the F ederal S ervice of S tate Statistics of Russia]. A vailable at: http://www.gks.ru/

4. Vishnevskiy A. G. N aselenie Rossii 2003-2004. Odinnadtsatyiy-dvenadtsatyiy ezhegodnyiy demograficheskiy doklad [The population of Russia 2003-2004. Eleventhtwelfth annual demographic report]. Moscow, Nauka Publ., 2006. 356 р.

5. Nayden S.N. Rashodyi naseleniya na soderzhanie zhilya i kommunalnyie uslugi: prostranstvennaya differentsiatsiya na Dalnem Vostoke [Household spending on housing maintenance and utilities: spatial differentiation in the Far East]. Uroven zhizni naseleniya regionov Rossii [Level of L ife of the Population of the Regions of Russia]. 2013, I. 1, pp.108-115.

6. Poletaev D. V. S ovremennaya migratsionnaya situatsiya na Dalnem Vostoke [The current migration situation in the Far East]. Upravlenie Verhovnogo komissara OON po delam bezhentsev v RF (UVKB OON). M aterialyi seminara-soveschaniya «Rol SMI v formirovanii obschestvennogo mneniya po otnosheniyu k litsam v vedenii UVKB OON [United N ations H igh C ommissioner for Refugees in the Russian F ederation (UNHCR). Proceedings of the seminar-conference «The role of the media in shaping public opinion in relation to persons of concern to UNHCR»]. Habarovsk, 9-10 sentyabrya 2010.

7. Ryibakovskiy L.L. Demograficheskiy potentsial Dalnego Vostoka, ego dinamika i kachestvo [Demographic potential of the Far East, its dynamics and quality]. Doklad na Pyatom D alnevostochnom M ezhdunarodnom ekonomicheskom forume, 4-5 oktyabrya 2011 [Report of the Fifth Far Eastern International Economic Forum, October 4-5, 2011]. H abarovsk. 17 р. A vailable at: http://dvforum.khabkrai.ru/RoundTable5.aspx

8. Motrich E.L. Naselenie stran Severo-Vostochnoy Azii: nastoyaschee i buduschee [The population of the North-East Asia: Present and Future]. Ustoychivoe razvitie dalnevostochnyih rayonov: ekologo-geograficheskie aspektyi [Sustainable development of the F ar E astern areas: ecological and geographical aspects]. Vladivostok, Dalnauka Publ., 1999. 288 р.

9. Dalniy Vostok i Zabaykale v Rossii i A TR: Analiticheskiy doklad [Far East and Trans-Baikal in Russia and Asia-Pacific: analytical report]. Dalnevostochnyiy mezhdunarodnyiy ekonomicheskiy kongress. g. Habarovsk, 27-28 sentyabrya 2005 [Far Eastern International Economic Congress. Khabarovsk, 27-28 S eptember 2005]. Habarovsk, IEI DVO RAN Publ., 79 р.

10. Berezutskiy Yu.V. S otsialnoe razvitie molodezhi dalnevostochnogo regiona v sotsiologicheskom izmerenii [Social development of young people in the Far East region sociological perspective]. Uroven zhizni naseleniya regionov Rossii [Level of L ife of the Population of the Regions of Russia]. 2013, I. 1, pр. 95-100.

11. Koulman D evid A. M ezhdunarodnaya migratsiya v Evrope v XXI veke: nastoyaschee i buduschee [International migration in Europe in the XXI Century: Present and Future]. Uroven zhizni naseleniya regionov Rossii [Level of Life of the Population of the Regions of Russia]. 2014, I. 3, pр. 69-82.

12. Iontsev V.A., Prohorova Yu.A. M ezhdunarodnaya migratsiya naseleniya v kontekste demograficheskoy teorii [International migration in the context of demographic theory]. Uroven zhizni naseleniya regionov Rossii [Level of Life of the Population of the Regions of Russia]. 2014, I. 3, pр. 83-91.

13. Krasinets E.S. , S hevtsova T.V. M igratsiya kak faktor i sledstvie razvitiya ryinka truda [Migration as a factor and a consequence of the development of the labor market]. Uroven zhizni naseleniya regionov Rossii [Level of Life of the Population of the Regions of Russia]. 2014, I. 3, pр. 92-99.

14. Elizarov V.V. Demograficheskoe razvitie Rossii i ee regionov: obschee i osobennoe [Demographic development of Russia and its regions: general and special]. Uroven zhizni naseleniya regionov Rossii [Level of Life of the Population of the Regions of Russia]. 2014, I. 1, pр. 57-72.

15. Arhangelskiy V.N., Dzhanaeva N. G. Regionalnyie osobennosti dinamiki rozhdaemosti i demograficheskaya politika [Regional features of the dynamics of fertility and population policy]. Uroven zhizni naseleniya regionov Rossii [Level of Life of the Population of the Regions of Russia]. 2014, I. 1, pр. 73-82.

16. Stepanova A. V. Demograficheskoe razvitie M oskvyi v 2000-h godah [Demographic development of Moscow in the 2000s]. Uroven zhizni naseleniya regionov Rossii [Level of Life of the Population of the Regions of Russia]. 2014, I. 4.

17. Grigorev S.I. , M ironova S. V., M artyinova M. Yu., Tolstyih G.V. S otsialnoe opravdanie neravenstva i problema spravedlivosti [Social inequality and the problem of the justification of justice]. Uroven zhizni naseleniya regionov Rossii [Level of Life of the Population of the Regions of Russia]. 2014, I. 4.

18. Bobkov V.N., Veredyuk O.V. S otsialnaya uyazvimost rossiyskogo obschestva vsledstvie vyisokogo neravenstva urovnya zhizni [Social vulnerability of Russian society due to the high level of inequality of life]. Uroven zhizni naseleniya regionov Rossii [Level of L ife of the Population of the Regions of Russia]. 2014, I. 1, pр. 7-16.

19. Savchenko P.V., Golubev V.S., F edorova M.N. S otsiogumanitarnyiy vektor razvitiya sotsialno-ekonomicheskoy sistemyi Rossii [Sociohumanities vector of socio-economic system of Russia]. Uroven zhizni naseleniya regionov Rossii [Level of Life of the Population of the Regions of Russia]. 2014, I. 4.

Login or Create
* Forgot password?