IMPROVING METHODS FOR PREDICTING SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT INDICATORS OF PHARMACEUTICAL COMPANIES
Abstract and keywords
Abstract (English):
The article presents the strategic industry aspects of monitoring and forecasting methods for the sustainable development of the pharmaceutical industry. A risk-factor approach to forecasting sustainable development indicators is proposed. The forecast of benchmarks for the sustainable development of the pharmaceutical industry for the period up to 2030 has been calculated.

Keywords:
sustainable development, forecasting, pharmaceutical industry, exponential smoothing
References

1. Prikaz Minzdrava Rossii ot 29.04.2025 № 259n «Ob utverzhdenii Pravil nadlezhaschey aptechnoy praktiki lekarstvennyh preparatov dlya medicinskogo primeneniya».

2. Prikaz Minekonomrazvitiya Rossii ot 30.06.2016 № 417 «Ob utverzhdenii metodicheskih rekomendaciy po razrabotke i korrektirovke dolgosrochnogo prognoza social'no-ekonomicheskogo razvitiya Rossiyskoy Federacii».

3. Balihin M.A. Razvitie teorii i praktiki monitoringa ustoychivogo razvitiya (na primere farmacevticheskoy otrasli) // Auditor. — 2025. — № 1. — S. 30–36. DOI: https://doi.org/10.12737/1998-0701-2025-11-1-30-36; EDN: https://elibrary.ru/NLSSZU

4. Varshavskiy L.E. Metodologicheskie osnovy modelirovaniya razvitiya oligopolisticheskih rynkov produkcii s dlitel'nym zhiznennym ciklom (na primere rynka Grazhdanskoy aviacionnoy tehniki) // Prikladnaya ekonometrika. — 2010. — № 4 (20). — S. 53—74. EDN: https://elibrary.ru/NUEJML

5. Ivanter V.V., Suvorov A.V., Sutyagin V.S. Osnovnye zadachi i principy social'no-ekonomicheskogo prognozirovaniya // Upravlenie. — 2015. — № 1 (7). — S. 8–16. DOI: https://doi.org/10.12737/8785; EDN: https://elibrary.ru/RQPIKI

6. Kazakova N.A., Balihin M.A. Monitoring izmeneniy v organizaciyah farmacevticheskoy otrasli: analiz biznes-modeley v aspekte ustoychivogo razvitiya // Uchet. Analiz. Audit. — 2025. — № 5.

7. Kazakova N.A., Kogdenko V.G. Monitoring ustoychivosti razvitiya elektronnoy promyshlennosti // Finansy: teoriya i praktika. — 2023. — № 6. — S. 185–197. DOI: https://doi.org/10.26794/2587-5671-2023-27-6-185-198; EDN: https://elibrary.ru/QBBGCG

8. Makarov V.L., Bahtizin A.R. Sovremennye metody prognozirovaniya posledstviy upravlencheskih resheniy // Upravlencheskoe konsul'tirovanie. — 2015. — № 7. — S. 12–24. EDN: https://elibrary.ru/UBHJLV

9. Mahutov N.A., Kuzyk B.N., Abrosimov N.V. [i dr.]. Nauchnye osnovy prognozirovaniya i prognoznye pokazateli social'no-ekonomicheskogo i nauchno-tehnicheskogo razvitiya Rossii do 2030 goda s ispol'zovaniem kriteriev strategicheskih riskov / Rossiyskaya akademiya nauk Koordinacionnyy sovet RAN po prognozirovaniyu. — M.: INES, 2011. — 136 s. EDN: https://elibrary.ru/VUEHTI

10. Analiticheskiy otchet Farmacevticheskiy rynok Rossii 2024, DSM group [Elektronnyy resurs]. — URL: https://dsm.ru/docs/analytics/Annual_report_2024_RUS_.pdf

11. Analiticheskiy otchet Farmacevticheskiy rynok Rossii 2023, DSM group [Elektronnyy resurs]. — URL: https://dsm.ru/docs/analytics/Annual_report_2023_RUS_.pdf

12. Analiticheskiy otchet Farmacevticheskiy rynok Rossii 2022, DSM group [Elektronnyy resurs]. — URL: https://dsm.ru/docs/analytics/Annual_report_2022_RUS_.pdf

13. Analiticheskiy otchet Farmacevticheskiy rynok Rossii 2021, DSM group [Elektronnyy resurs]. — URL: https://dsm.ru/docs/analytics/Annual_report_2021_RUS_.pdf

14. Analiticheskiy otchet Farmacevticheskiy rynok Rossii 2020, DSM group [Elektronnyy resurs]. — URL: https://dsm.ru/docs/analytics/Annual_report_2020_RUS_.pdf

15. Strategiya razvitiya farmacevticheskoy promyshlennosti Rossiyskoy Federacii do 2030 g., utverzhdennaya rasporyazheniem ot 07.06.2023 № 1495-r. — URL: http://publication.pravo.gov.ru/ document/0001202306190013

Login or Create
* Forgot password?