Moscow State University. M.V. Lomonosov (Department of Socio-Cultural Design and Development of Territories, Professor)
Moskva, Moscow, Russian Federation
The relevance of the presented study is determined by the fact that the technical, technological and economic transformations currently planned in the country imply corresponding political and social changes, which in turn are determined by the nature of the relationships between economic agents. The purpose of the presented study was to analyze, from a theoretical and methodological standpoint, the combination of objective and subjective factors influencing the processes of political, social, technological and economic transformation in the national economy in 2024. The scientific novelty of the results obtained lies in the substantiation that the personnel decisions in the state administration system made in May 2024 generally fit into the concept of incrementalism by C. Lindblom. The practical significance of the results obtained lies in the possibility of their use in the formation of rational approaches to making management decisions at the macroeconomic level.
influence, philosophy of incrementalism, making management decisions, institutional level
1. Glavnye temy PMEF-2024 — mnogopolyarnyy mir i transformaciya rossiyskoy ekonomiki. https://www.pnp.ru/politics/glavnye-temy-pmef-2024-mnogopolyarnyymir-i-transformaciya-rossiyskoy-ekonomiki.html
2. «Vot takaya vot rokirovochka». Kak izmenitsya pravitel'stvo Rossii posle inauguracii prezidenta. https://v1.ru/text/politics/2024/05/07/73546619/
3. «Povysyat nalogi». Kto i zachem voydet v sostav novogo pravitel'stva Rossii. https://rtvi.com/opinions/povysyat-nalogi-kto-i-zachem-vojdet-v-sostav-novogopravitelstva-rossii/
4. Lindblom, Charles E. (1959), The science of 'muddling through'. Public Administration Review, 19, pp. 79–88.
5. V Gosdume anonsirovali ser'eznye izmeneniya v pravitel'stve. https://vkirove.ru/news/2023/12/23/v_gosdume_anonsirovali_sereznye_izmeneniya_v _pravitelstve.html
6. VVP Rossii po godam: 1991 – 2024. http://global-finances.ru/vvp-rossii-po-godam/
7. Zhukovskaya L. V. O modelyah i metodah upravleniya slozhnymi social'noekonomicheskimi dinamicheskimi sistemami / L. V. Zhukovskaya // Avtomatika i telemehanika. — 2005. — № 1. — S. 38–44.
8. Kak izmenitsya rossiyskaya vlast' v blizhayshie dni. https://ria.ru/20240511/vlast1944749082.html
9. Kak perestanovki v pravitel'stve i vedomstvah skazhutsya na ruble i rynkah. https://finance.mail.ru/2024-05-19/kak-kadrovye-peremeny-povliyayut-na-rubl-i-rynki61057216/
10. Kak Putin mozhet pomenyat' pravitel'stvo: kto uydet, a kto ostanetsya https://news.ru/russia/kak-putin-mozhet-pomenyat-pravitelstvo-kto-ujdet-a-ktoostanetsya/
11. Kakie perestanovki vozmozhny v Pravitel'stve. https://www.pnp.ru/top/kakieperestanovki-vozmozhny-v-pravitelstve.html
12. Kakie perestanovki ozhidayutsya v novom pravitel'stve: prognozy. https://ura.news/news/1052767043
13. Kakie perestanovki ozhidayutsya v novom pravitel'stve: prognozy. https://19rusinfo.ru/politika/67987-kakie-perestanovki-ozhidayutsya-v-novompravitelstve-prognozy
14. Kapkanschikov S.G. Dokazatel'naya politika v mehanizme prinyatiya upravlencheskih resheniy na makrourovne. // Mezhdunarodnaya ekonomika. 2022, №10, s.743-756. DOI: https://doi.org/10.33920/vne-04-2210-05; EDN: https://elibrary.ru/LSDYAM
15. Kto voydet v novoe rossiyskoe pravitel'stvo: otstavki i naznacheniya. https://fedpress.ru/article/3315953
16. Mortikov V. V. Makroekonomicheskie aspekty prinyatiya resheniy v oblasti upravleniya personalom // Voprosy upravleniya. 2023. T. 17, № 1. S. 61-73. DOI: https://doi.org/10.22394/2304-3369-2023-1-61-73; EDN: https://elibrary.ru/OZKTHF
17. O chem govorit novaya konfiguraciya rossiyskogo pravitel'stva. https://www.rbc.ru/economics/11/05/2024/663f91129a7947ae5ad635b9
18. Peremennoe napryazhenie. https://www.kommersant.ru/doc/6688910
19. Petrosyan D.S., Botasheva L.S., Stolyarova A.N., Badalova S.N., Petrosyan A.D. OSOBENNOSTI ORGANIZACII UPRAVLENIYa NA MAKROUROVNE NACIONAL'NOY EKONOMIKI. // Industrial'naya ekonomika, 2022, №5-8, s.718-726. DOI: https://doi.org/10.47576/2712-7559_2022_5_8_718; EDN: https://elibrary.ru/VTBNVE
20. Predateli okkupirovali kabinety vlasti: Bitva Mishustina s naslednikami Gaydara. https://dzen.ru/a/ZZ_BUZB2RjM2bBkZ
21. Putin zayavil o neobhodimosti pereyti k «suverennoy ekonomike» v Rossii. https://www.forbes.ru/finansy/491088-putin-zaavil-o-neobhodimosti-perejti-ksuverennoj-ekonomike-v-rossii
22. Rayzberg B.A., Eroshin V.I. OSMYSLENIE NEOPREDELENNOSTI PRI VYRABOTKE I OSUSchESTVLENII PLANOVO-UPRAVLENChESKIH REShENIY NA MAKROEKONOMIChESKOM I MIKROEKONOMIChESKOM UROVNYaH. // Problemy ekonomiki i yuridicheskoy praktiki. 2018, №5, s.12-15. EDN: https://elibrary.ru/YOGFRZ
23. Romanova O.A., Strovskiy V.E. RAZVITIE METODOLOGII EKONOMIChESKOY OCENKI UPRAVLENChESKIH REShENIY KAK FAKTORA POVYShENIYa EKONOMIChESKOY BEZOPASNOSTI. // Ekonomika regiona. — 2016. — T. 12, vyp. 3. — S. 937–950. DOI: https://doi.org/10.17059/2016-3-27; EDN: https://elibrary.ru/WJLMXH
24. Salihov F.N. INSTITUCIONAL'NYM PODHOD V PRINYaTII UPRAVLENChESKIH REShENIY. // Social'no-ekonomicheskie nauki i gumanitarnye issledovaniya. 2015, №5, s.98-101. EDN: https://elibrary.ru/TPEZFB
25. Sergey Mironov ozhidaet ser'eznyh izmeneniy v novom pravitel'stve. https://mironov-online.ru/news/sergej-mironov-ozhidaet-sereznyh-izmenenij-vnovom-pravitelstve/
26. Smirnova E.A. Upravlencheskie resheniya v usloviyah makroekonomicheskoy neopredelennosti: vozmozhno li nayti indikatory grozyaschey opasnosti? // Upravlenie ekonomicheskimi sistemami: elektronnyy nauchnyy zhurnal. 2016. № 5(87).
27. Sovremennaya, komfortnaya i schastlivaya Rossiya. Prezident rasskazal o social'noy politike na blizhayshie shest' let. https://www.gazeta.ru/social/2024/03/01/18354896.shtml
28. Social'noe razvitie Rossii: izmenenie struktury i akcenty v 2024-2030 godah. https://regcomment.ru/analytics/sotsialnoe-razvitie-rossii-izmenenie-struktury-iaktsenty-v-2024-2030-godah/
29. Tebekin A.V. METODOLOGIChESKIY ANALIZ MENEDZhMENTA RAZRABOTKI I REALIZACII GAYDAROVSKIH REFORM (ChAST' 2: TENDENCII RAZVITIYa GAYDAROVSKIH REFORM VNUTRENNIM MENEDZhMENTOM V 1990-E, 2000-E I 2010-E GODY). // Zhurnal ekonomicheskih issledovaniy. 2023. T. 9. № 6. S. 3-24. EDN: https://elibrary.ru/ACMUPV
30. Tebekin, A.V. Prichiny ignorirovaniya strategicheskih iniciativ v sovremennyh koncepciyah strategicheskogo razvitiya makroekonomicheskih sistem: teoretikometodologicheskiy aspekt/A.V. Tebekin. - Tekst: elektronnyy // Teoreticheskaya ekonomika. - 2023 - №10. - S.92-105. - URL: http://www.theoreticaleconomy.ru EDN: https://elibrary.ru/CQOJBI
31. Telegram-kanaly uzhe pomenyali vse pravitel'stvo. https://www.ng.ru/politics/2024-04-15/100_142415042024.html
32. Teper' glavnyy vopros novogo pravitel'stva: Putin, kak vsegda, byl nepredskazuem. Chto nas zhdet s Minoborony i silovym blokom? https://dzen.ru/a/Zj-fXp50uRIjkPBS
33. Transformaciya rossiyskoy social'no-ekonomicheskoy sistemy v sovremennyh usloviyah. https://roscongress.org/materials/transformatsiya-rossiyskoy-sotsialnoekonomicheskoy-sistemy-v-sovremennykh-usloviyakh-/
34. Transformaciya social'no-ekonomicheskih processov v Rossii v usloviyah geopoliticheskih i ekonomicheskih vyzovov: monografiya / [Belyaeva S.V., Bessarabov V.O., Bessarabova A.A. i dr.]. Pod red. Bessarabova V.O., Podkopaeva O.A. – Samara: OOO NIC «PNK», 2023. – 241 s.
35. Ukaz Prezidenta Rossiyskoy Federacii ot 07.05.2018 № 204 "O nacional'nyh celyah i strategicheskih zadachah razvitiya Rossiyskoy Federacii na period do 2024 goda". http://publication.pravo.gov.ru/Document/View/0001201805070038?index=2
36. Ukaz Prezidenta Rossiyskoy Federacii ot 7 maya 2024 g. № 309 “O nacional'nyh celyah razvitiya Rossiyskoy Federacii na period do 2030 goda i na perspektivu do 2036 goda”. https://www.garant.ru/products/ipo/prime/doc/408892634/
37. Ukaz Prezidenta RF ot 21 iyulya 2020 g. № 474 “O nacional'nyh celyah razvitiya Rossiyskoy Federacii na period do 2030 goda”. https://www.garant.ru/products/ipo/prime/doc/74304210/
38. Yakovlev A.A. (2020) Poisk institucional'nyh resheniy cherez prizmu istorii // Obschestvennye nauki i sovremennost'. № 2. S. 57–63. DOI: https://doi.org/10.31857/S086904990009192-3; EDN: https://elibrary.ru/BEDEBD
39. Tebekin A.V. ROL' RAZVIVAYuSchEYSYa STRATEGII ShKOLY OBUChENIYa Ch. LINDBLOMA V POVYShENIYa EFFEKTIVNOSTI FUNKCIONIROVANIYa ORGANIZACII V SOVREMENNYH USLOVIYaH. // Transportnoe delo Rossii. 2024. № 3. S. 93-100. EDN: https://elibrary.ru/QVMVLJ
40. Tebekin A.V., Mitropol'skaya-Rodionova N.V., Horeva A.V. FILOSOFIYa ShKOLY OBUChENIYa Ch. LINDBLOMA: EFFEKTIVNOST' NA SMENU EFFEKTNOSTI. // Transportnoe delo Rossii. 2023. № 3. S. 43-48. DOI: https://doi.org/10.52375/20728689_2023_3_43; EDN: https://elibrary.ru/RACQIS
41. Tebekin A.V., Mitropol'skaya-Rodionova N.V., Horeva A.V. LOGIChESKIY INKREMENTALIZM KAK BAZOVAYa OSNOVA FORMIROVANIYa STRATEGIY RAZVITIYa V NAUChNOY ShKOLE OBUChENIYa Ch. LINDBLOMA. // Transportnoe delo Rossii. 2023. № 4. S. 81-88. DOI: https://doi.org/10.52375/20728689_2023_4_81; EDN: https://elibrary.ru/CGIFYP
42. Tebekin A.V. PEREHOD OT FORMULIROVANIYa STRATEGII K EE FORMIROVANIYu KAK PUT' OBESPEChENIYa EFFEKTIVNOSTI RAZVITIYa V ShKOLE OBUChENIYa Ch. LINDBLOMA. // Transportnoe delo Rossii. 2023. № 6. S. 146-15 DOI: https://doi.org/10.52375/20728689_2023_6_146; EDN: https://elibrary.ru/ATQGQY
43. Tebekin A.V. FILOSOFIYa INKREMENTALIZMA KAK KLYuCh K PONIMANIYu PROCESSOV FORMIROVANIYa STRATEGIY RAZVITIYa V ShKOLE OBUChENIYa Ch. LINDBLOMA. // Teoreticheskaya ekonomika. 2023. № 8 (104). S. 12-24. EDN: https://elibrary.ru/CGZPRW
44. Tebekin A.V. PARADIGMA ORIENTACII NA RAZRABOTKU EFFEKTIVNYH STRATEGIY VZAMEN STRATEGIY S EFFEKTNYMI FORMULIROVKAMI V ShKOLE OBUChENIYa Ch. LINDBLOMA. // Zhurnal filosofskih issledovaniy. 2023. T. 9. № 2. S. 42-54. EDN: https://elibrary.ru/FKGZJQ
45. Tebekin A.V. POSTULATY ShKOLY OBUChENIYa STRATEGIChESKOGO MENEDZhMENTA ChARL'ZA LINDBLOMA: FILOSOFSKIY ASPEKT. // Zhurnal filosofskih issledovaniy. 2023. T. 9. № 3. S. 45-58. EDN: https://elibrary.ru/IEVXYF