INNOVATION PROJECT PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT UNDER CONDITIONS OF LIMITED INFORMATION RESOURCES BY METHODS OF FUZZY LOGIC AND SIMULATION MODELING
Abstract and keywords
Abstract (English):
Managing a portfolio of innovation projects is a complex task that requires special approaches and management methods. According to statistics, only 69% of innovation projects correlate with the strategic goals the company originally set for itself. Innovative projects involve working in an environment of constant variability, inaccessibility of information and high risk. The aim of the work is to propose a tool for managing a portfolio of innovative projects using fuzzy logic methods and simulation modeling to improve the performance of project managers and achieve the strategic objectives of the organization, and as a consequence, create a competitive advantage in the market. Research methodology is based on taking into account the theory of fuzzy logic and the theory of system dynamics to create a simulation model by Bass diffusion. The article proposes a tool for managing a portfolio of innovative projects using fuzzy logic and simulation modeling, and provides recommendations for combining the proposed tool with modern PMIS and analytical systems that allow pre-project and post-project analysis, which allows you to manage and monitor the performance of the portfolio throughout the full cycle of its implementation.

Keywords:
project portfolio management, innovative projects, fuzzy logic, simulation modeling, project management information systems
References

1. An'shin, V.M. Modeli upravleniya portfelem proektov v usloviyah neopredelennosti. V.M. An'shin, I.V. Demkin, I.M. Nikonov, I.N. Car'kov. - M.: Izdatel'skiy centr MATI, 2007. - 117 s.

2. Rukovodstvo k svodu znaniy po upravleniyu proektom (Rukovodstvo PMBOK). - Shestoe izdanie: Institut upravleniya proektami (Newtown Square, PA - Project Management Institute, PMI), 2017. - 762 s.

3. Chernov, V.G. Nechetkie mnozhestva. Osnovy teorii primeneniya: uchebnoe posobie / V.G. Chernov. - Vladimir: VlGU, 2018. - 156 s.

4. Araujo M., Storopoli J., Rabechini R., Project Portfolio Management and Information Technology Strategic Alignment // International Journal of Innovation and Technology Management (IJITM), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 18(08), pages 1-25, December.2021

5. Bass, F. A new product growth model for consumer durables // Management Science. - 1969. - 15 (5). - P. 215-227.

6. Brehmer, B. Command without commanders. Proceedings of the 14th International Command and Control Research and Technology Symposium, Washington, D.C.

7. Hadjinicolaou Nick, Mohamad Kader. Ibrahim Abdallah Strategic Innovation, Foresight and the Deployment of Project Portfolio Management under Mid-Range Planning Conditions in Medium-Sized Firms // Sustainability 2021, 14, 80. https://doi.org/10.3390/su14010080 https://www.mdpi.com/journal/sustainability

8. Killen, Catherine P. International Journal of Managing Projects in Business / Catherine P. Killen, Robert A. Hunt. - 2013, Volume 6, Number 1. - P. 131.

9. Peerasit Patanakul Key attributes of effectiveness in managing project portfolio // Elsevier. This manuscript is made available under the Elsevier user license, 2015 https://www.elsevier.com/open-access/userlicense/1.0/

10. Shalbafan, S. Using simulation to create a time-bound, space-constrained context for studying decision-making in project portfolio management using the Cynefin framework / S. Shalbafan, E. Leigh, J. Pollack and S. Sankaran. - Sydney. - Apros - Egos, 2015.

11. Zhang, C. A systematic literature review of simulation models for non-technical skill training in healthcare logistics / C. Zhang, T. Grandits, K.P. Härenstam. - Adv Simul 3. - 2018. - 15.

12. [Elektronnyy resurs] https://www.pmi.org/learning/thought-leadership/pulse - data obrascheniya 13.12.2021.

13. [Elektronnyy resurs] https://www.pmi.org/learning/thought-leadership/pulse/a-case-for-diversity -- data obrascheniya 12.03.2022.

14. [Elektronnyy resurs] https://scanner.bz/ -- data obrascheniya 10.03.2022.

15. [Elektronnyy resurs] https://www.advanta-group.ru/ -- data obrascheniya 10.03.2022.

Login or Create
* Forgot password?