Solar-Terrestrial Physics Solar-Terrestrial Physics Solar-Terrestrial Physics 2500-0535 28051 10.12737/stp-51201906 Results of current research Results of current research Results of current research Early diagnostics of geomagnetic storms based on observations of space monitoring systems Early diagnostics of geomagnetic storms based on observations of space monitoring systems Гетманов Виктор Григорьевич Getmanov Viktor Grigoryevich vgetm2015@yandex.ru

доктор технических наук;

doctor of technical sciences;

 https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4874-7475 Гвишиани Алексей Джерменович Gvishiani Alexei D. rjes@wdcb.ru

доктор физико-математических наук;

doctor of physical and mathematical sciences;

 Перегудов Дмитрий Владимирович Peregoudov Dmitriy Vladimirovich d.peregoudov@gcras.ru

кандидат физико-математических наук;

candidate of physical and mathematical sciences;

 Яшин Игорь Иванович Yashin Igor Ivanovich IIYashin@mephi.ru

доктор физико-математических наук;

doctor of physical and mathematical sciences;

 https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6476-9471 Соловьёв Анатолий Александрович Soloviev Anatoly Aleksandrovich rjes@wdcb.ru

доктор физико-математических наук;

doctor of physical and mathematical sciences;

 https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6930-3331 Добровольский Михаил Николаевич Dobrovolskiy Mikhail Nikolaevich m.dobrovolsky@gcras.ru

кандидат физико-математических наук;

candidate of physical and mathematical sciences;

 https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2615-4326 Сидоров Роман Викторович Sidorov Roman Viktorovich r.sidorov@gcras.ru

кандидат физико-математических наук;

candidate of physical and mathematical sciences;

 Геофизический центр РАН Москва Россия Geophysical Center of RAS Moscow Russian Federation Институт физики Земли им. О.Ю. Шмидта РАН Москва Россия Schmidt Institute of Physics of the Earth, RAS Moscow Russian Federation Геофизический центр Российской Академии Наук Москва Россия Geophysical Center of the Russian Academy of Sciences Moscow Russian Federation Институт физики Земли им. О.Ю. Шмидта Российской академии наук Москва Россия Schmidt Institute of the Physics of the Earth Russian Academy of Sciencies Moscow Russian Federation Геофизический центр РАН Москва Россия Geophysical Center of RAS Moscow Russian Federation Национальный исследовательский ядерный университет «МИФИ» Москва Россия National Research Nuclear University MEPhI Moscow Russian Federation Геофизический центр РАН Москва Россия Geophysical Center RAS Moscow Russian Federation Институт физики Земли им. О.Ю. Шмидта РАН Москва Россия Schmidt Institute of Physics of the Earth, RAS Moscow Russian Federation Геофизический центр РАН Москва Россия Geophysical Center of RAS Moscow Russian Federation Геофизический центр Российской Академии Наук RU Geophysical Center of the Russian Academy of Sciences RU 5 1 43 50 https://naukaru.ru/en/nauka/article/28051/view

We address the problem of early diagnostics of geomagnetic storms based on the use of models of coordinates of movements of centers of solar coronal mass ejections (CME) and observations of their angular positions obtained from space monitoring systems. We propose a method for early diagnostics of geomagnetic storms, introduce a function to predict the distance between Earth and CME centers, and establish a decision-making procedure. We give an example of calculating the distance prediction function and implement the diagnostic decision-making procedure based on coordinate models and model observations of angular positions of CME centers. We determine the efficiency of the decision-making procedure for the algorithm for early diagnostics of geomagnetic storms.

We address the problem of early diagnostics of geomagnetic storms based on the use of models of coordinates of movements of centers of solar coronal mass ejections (CME) and observations of their angular positions obtained from space monitoring systems. We propose a method for early diagnostics of geomagnetic storms, introduce a function to predict the distance between Earth and CME centers, and establish a decision-making procedure. We give an example of calculating the distance prediction function and implement the diagnostic decision-making procedure based on coordinate models and model observations of angular positions of CME centers. We determine the efficiency of the decision-making procedure for the algorithm for early diagnostics of geomagnetic storms.

 coronal mass ejections geomagnetic storms space monitoring diagnostic solutions triangulation functional coronal mass ejections geomagnetic storms space monitoring diagnostic solutions triangulation functional

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