Moscow State University. M.V. Lomonosov (Department of Socio-Cultural Design and Development of Territories, professor)
Moskva, Moscow, Russian Federation
UDC 338
The permanent impact of sanctions on the Russian economy was not as significant as expected abroad, but there were quite a lot of negative consequences. The forced transition of the economy to "manual control" required the abandonment of a number of previously planned important positions in the previously adopted strategy of state economic management. Unfortunately, the main financial problem can be identified: until now, due to the very high volatility of the most important macroeconomic parameters (GDP, inflation, the ruble exchange rate and other indicators), the national currency has not yet been able to become a full-fledged investment asset that was supposed to replace foreign investment. The situation in 2025 is significantly complicated by high refinancing rates, which have significantly reduced the volume of lending to the real sector not related to the defense industry. If measures are not taken to simplify access to loans and turn the ruble into a full-fledged investment asset (for example, using state guarantees when financing long-term infrastructure and other investment projects), the country's economy may find itself in recession. These circumstances determined the purpose of the study. The scientific novelty and practical significance of the work lies in the comprehensive analysis of the current situation from a macroeconomic and factual point of view and the development of recommendations for a way out of the current situation accordingly.
assessment, impact of sanctions, USA, EU, economy, business, Russia, ways to overcome
1. Russia Is Now the World's Most-Sanctioned Nation. https://www.swissinfo.ch /eng/bloomberg/russia-is-now-the-world-s-most-sanctioned-nation/47410978.
2. Abramov V. I. Vliyanie zapadnyh sankciy na ekonomiku Rossiyskoy Federacii i prognozy ee razvitiya na 2025 god // Vestnik Moskovskogo universiteta MVD Rossii. 2024. № 6. S. 153-157.
3. Zhukov V.A., Polyanskaya I.V. Problemy razvitiya ekonomiki Rossii v usloviyah sankciy // Sovremennye nauchnye issledovaniya i innovacii. 2023. № 12 [Elektronnyy resurs]. URL: https://web.snauka.ru/issues/2023/12/101138.
4. Kazancev S.V. Antirossiyskie sankcii: ocenka uscherba. – Novosibirsk. OOO «Ofset-TM». 2021. – 212 s.
5. Pletnev, A. O. Vliyanie sankciy na socio-ekonomicheskoe razvitie Rossii / A. O. Pletnev // Vestnik evraziyskoy nauki. — 2022. — T. 14. — № 6. — URL: https://esj.today/ PDF/09ECVN622.pdf.
6. Podtolknuli li sankcii otechestvennyy biznes k razvitiyu? https://secrets.tbank.ru/blogi-kompanij/razvitie-biznesa-i-sankcii/?utm_referrer=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.yandex.ru% 2F&internal_source=copypaste.
7. Raspechatat' kubyshku: gde biznes nahodit vozmozhnosti dlya rosta. https://www.rbc.ru/industries/news/6650a6e29a79479f2aafddc8.
8. Sankcii Trampa otlozheny: rossiyskaya ekonomika derzhit oboronu, no est' riski. https://www.mk.ru/economics/2025/08/13/sankcii-trampa-otlozheny-rossiyskaya-ekonomika-derzhit-oboronu-no-est-riski.html.
9. Sinichenko O. A. Vliyanie sankcionnoy politiki na sostoyanie bankovskogo sektora Rossii // Izvestiya Saratovskogo universiteta. Novaya seriya. Seriya: Ekonomika. Upravlenie. Pravo. 2024. T. 24, vyp. 1. S. 11–20.
10. Tebekin A.V. Antirossiyskie sankcii zapada kak indikator destabilizacii mirovoy ekonomiki. // Mezhdunarodnaya ekonomika. 2023. № 11. S. 750-775.
11. Tebekin A.V. Perspektivy razvitiya nacional'noy ekonomiki v ramkah shestogo tehnologicheskogo uklada s uchetom uzhestocheniya zapadnyh sankciy / Zhurnal issledovaniy po upravleniyu. 2022. T. 8. № 1. S. 17-37.
12. Tebekin A.V. Problemy obespecheniya bezopasnosti i ustoychivogo razvitiya rossiyskoy ekonomiki v usloviyah sankciy. // Vestnik Moskovskogo finansovo-yuridicheskogo universiteta MFYuA. 2024. № 2. S. 9-22.
13. Tebekin A.V., Lukinyh I.A. Problemy adaptacii razvitiya TEK k vliyaniyu sankcionnyh faktorov i potencial'nye puti ih resheniya. // Vestnik ekonomiki i prava. 2025. № 100. S. 8-21.
14. Tebekin A.V., Petrov V.S., Petrova O.V. Tendencii i problemy razvitiya valyutnoy sistemy Rossiyskoy Federacii v usloviyah sankciy. // Vestnik ekonomiki i prava. 2024. № 95. S. 40-60.
15. Chto budet s kursom rublya v 2025 godu‚ esli s Rossii snimut sankcii: mnenie ekspertov. https://www.sravni.ru/text/chto-budet-s-kursom-rublya-bez-sankcij/?upd=true.
16. Ekonomika Rossii pod sankciyami: ot adaptacii k ustoychivomu rostu [Tekst]: dokl. k XXIV Yasinskoy (Aprel'skoy) mezhdunar. nauch. konf. po problemam razvitiya ekonomiki i obschestva, Moskva, 2023 g. / N. V. Akindinova, D. A. Avdeeva, V. A. Bessonov i dr. , pod red. N. V. Akindinovoy, Nac. issled. un-t «Vysshaya shkola ekonomiki». — M.: Izd. dom Vysshey shkoly ekonomiki, 2023. — 63 s.



